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Article
A good company can still be a lousy stock
Management grades execution. Investors compare the outcome with the future they bought. Before defending the quarter, find the benchmark.
Article
How to test whether the investor story matches the numbers
An investor narrative can damage credibility when it outruns the evidence. Test whether the story, guidance, KPIs, pipeline and operating data describe the same company.
Article
How to explain temporary costs after a guidance cut
A guidance cut can reset every year in an investor model. Learn how a quantified guidance bridge separates temporary costs, timing issues and structural margin pressure.
Article
How revenue mix drives investor valuation
Revenue mix can matter more than total revenue. See how investors value subscription, services, AI and legacy revenue differently when they assess guidance and valuation.
Article
YOUR KPIs ARE EITHER TOOLS OR WEAPONS
This post explains how inconsistent KPI disclosure damages investor trust. It argues that when companies highlight metrics only while they’re improving, then change definitions, replace KPIs, or stop showing history when trends weaken, investors assume management is hiding something. The post lays out the cost of “KPI games,” including lower trust, more conservative assumptions, and less focus on the company’s strategy. It recommends introducing new KPIs with clear rationale, historical recasts, transition periods, and consistent quarter-to-quarter disclosure.
Article
The Street Only Remembers Three Things
This post argues that earnings messaging should focus on the few business drivers that actually move revenue or margins. It explains that if management tries to communicate 10 priorities, investors won’t retain any of them, and the company may have a focus problem. The post recommends identifying the three most important levers, making them concrete, aligning leadership around them, and using the earnings script as a forcing function for sharper internal focus and clearer investor communication.
Case Study
$2bn Software Company Entering a Model Transition
Management doesn’t always provide concise, direct answers to questions which can leave investors feeling unsatisfied. We then helped them script their earnings calls, Q&A, and investor presentations (including an investor day) to tell the story while also releasing a series of new KPIs that investors used to gauge the company’s progress through the transition.
Case Study
$5bn Hardware Company Lacking Investor Credibility
The client (under NDA) was looking for someone to help them fix their sagging stock price, which was lagging behind their peers despite several quarters of beating consensus estimates.
Case Study
$5bn Software Company with a Lagging Multiple
Management had a history of over-promising and under-delivering, which we needed to correct. Also, the business model transition created a layer of opacity that only increased disclosure, and new KPIs could solve.
Case Study
$14bn Software Company in Model Transition
After many years of disappointing results, investors lost interest in this company. Additionally, the company’s financial disclosures made it impossible to see all the changes going on “under the surface.”
Article
A good company can still be a lousy stock
Management grades execution. Investors compare the outcome with the future they bought. Before defending the quarter, find the benchmark.
Article
How to test whether the investor story matches the numbers
An investor narrative can damage credibility when it outruns the evidence. Test whether the story, guidance, KPIs, pipeline and operating data describe the same company.
Article
How to explain temporary costs after a guidance cut
A guidance cut can reset every year in an investor model. Learn how a quantified guidance bridge separates temporary costs, timing issues and structural margin pressure.
Article
How revenue mix drives investor valuation
Revenue mix can matter more than total revenue. See how investors value subscription, services, AI and legacy revenue differently when they assess guidance and valuation.
Article
YOUR KPIs ARE EITHER TOOLS OR WEAPONS
This post explains how inconsistent KPI disclosure damages investor trust. It argues that when companies highlight metrics only while they’re improving, then change definitions, replace KPIs, or stop showing history when trends weaken, investors assume management is hiding something. The post lays out the cost of “KPI games,” including lower trust, more conservative assumptions, and less focus on the company’s strategy. It recommends introducing new KPIs with clear rationale, historical recasts, transition periods, and consistent quarter-to-quarter disclosure.
Article
The Street Only Remembers Three Things
This post argues that earnings messaging should focus on the few business drivers that actually move revenue or margins. It explains that if management tries to communicate 10 priorities, investors won’t retain any of them, and the company may have a focus problem. The post recommends identifying the three most important levers, making them concrete, aligning leadership around them, and using the earnings script as a forcing function for sharper internal focus and clearer investor communication.